Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000747 0.000853 0.000965 0.001092 0.001232 0.001381 0.001552
2025-03-23 0.000576 0.000722 0.000887 0.001087 0.001320 0.001583 0.001899
2025-03-30 0.000486 0.000649 0.000843 0.001087 0.001384 0.001729 0.002158
2025-04-06 0.000412 0.000584 0.000797 0.001076 0.001426 0.001846 0.002381
2025-04-13 0.000351 0.000526 0.000752 0.001056 0.001450 0.001935 0.002567
2025-04-20 0.000319 0.000501 0.000743 0.001080 0.001526 0.002087 0.002832
2025-04-27 0.000288 0.000474 0.000730 0.001095 0.001589 0.002222 0.003078
2025-05-04 0.000254 0.000438 0.000699 0.001083 0.001614 0.002307 0.003258
2025-05-11 0.000222 0.000402 0.000665 0.001062 0.001624 0.002371 0.003412
2025-05-18 0.000204 0.000384 0.000657 0.001076 0.001681 0.002496 0.003649
2025-05-25 0.000185 0.000364 0.000642 0.001079 0.001721 0.002600 0.003856
2025-06-01 0.000160 0.000331 0.000605 0.001046 0.001709 0.002629 0.003964
2025-06-08 0.000138 0.000300 0.000570 0.001016 0.001698 0.002661 0.004077
2025-06-15 0.000124 0.000283 0.000554 0.001014 0.001728 0.002752 0.004273
2025-06-22 0.000112 0.000268 0.000541 0.001013 0.001760 0.002844 0.004472
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000250 0.000522 0.001003 0.001777 0.002914 0.004641
2025-07-06 0.000088 0.000231 0.000499 0.000984 0.001778 0.002961 0.004776
2025-07-13 0.000082 0.000226 0.000501 0.001006 0.001844 0.003104 0.005054
2025-07-20 0.000077 0.000219 0.000499 0.001021 0.001898 0.003230 0.005307
2025-07-27 0.000068 0.000205 0.000482 0.001009 0.001909 0.003291 0.005467
2025-08-03 0.000060 0.000190 0.000461 0.000990 0.001906 0.003331 0.005595
2025-08-10 0.000056 0.000184 0.000459 0.001003 0.001957 0.003454 0.005848
2025-08-17 0.000051 0.000176 0.000451 0.001006 0.001991 0.003550 0.006063